Futuring Methods a la Cornish
Edward Cornish offers an overview of common "futuring methods" as abstracted from his book, Futuring: The Exploration of the Future. The list is intriguing and includes a number of methodologies I've used in my own work developing software and guiding efforts at strategic planning.
I'd like to see this list drawn up into a matrix that categorizes/classifies these methods and assigns attributes that could help one. e.g., preparatory/data gathering vs. analysis vs. forcasting or scoring on a concrete-to-abstract continuum. Maybe scenario examples to highlight methodological utility in given scenarios or subject domains. etc., etc.
The "Modeling" method caught my eye. Before the age of modern super-computers, a physical scale model was built of the entire Chesapeake Bay. Designed to measure erosion, sedimentation rates, inflow and outflow dynamics, etc., it never worked properly and, although the original idea is less than 25 years old, it appears positively anachronistic to our modern eyes.
Is there a germ of an idea for my term paper in here somewhere?
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